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What 30° off south actually costs a solar array

Roof direction is treated as the thing that decides whether solar is worth doing. Modelled properly, 30° off south costs between two and three per cent a year, and any tilt between 25° and 50° is within about two per cent of the best one.

Performance9 min read

Photograph to accompany: What 30° off south actually costs a solar array

The short answer

For a fixed array in the English Midlands, turning 30° away from due south costs 2.1% of annual output to the east and 3.2% to the west. Even 45° off costs between 5 and 7%. Due east loses 19.4% and due west 21.4%, and due north loses 44.9%. On tilt, anything from 25° to 50° lands within 2.1% of optimum, which covers almost every pitched roof in Britain. A flat installation loses 16.3%.

Ask what makes a roof suitable for solar and the first answer is almost always that it needs to face south. It is the one piece of the subject that has reached general circulation, and it is wrong by a wide margin in the direction that costs people money: roofs get ruled out that would have been fine.

The figures below are modelled in PVGIS for a 4 kWp crystalline silicon array, roof-mounted, in the English Midlands, holding everything constant except the direction it points.

What direction costs

Annual output by orientation, fixed at 35° tilt
OrientationAnnual output (kWh)Against due south
Due south3,7610%
15° east of south3,747−0.4%
15° west of south3,726−0.9%
30° east of south3,681−2.1%
30° west of south3,640−3.2%
South-east3,571−5%
South-west3,514−6.6%
60° east of south3,419−9.1%
60° west of south3,350−10.9%
Due east3,029−19.4%
Due west2,955−21.4%
Due north2,072−44.9%

Each row is the same array, same tilt, same location, turned to a different compass bearing. East beats west slightly here, which is a real feature of the climate record rather than a rounding artefact: British mornings are on average clearer than British afternoons.

PVGIS 5.2 (European Commission Joint Research Centre), PVGIS-SARAH2 radiation database, 2005–2020 average. 4 kWp crystalline silicon, roof-mounted, 14% system loss, Birmingham, UK. Retrieved 2026-09-12.

The shape of that table is the point. The penalty is almost flat across the whole southern half of the compass and only becomes serious once you pass east or west.

  • Within 15° of south, the loss is under 1%. That is inside the year-to-year weather variation and not worth discussing.
  • At 30° off, it is 2.1% to the east and 3.2% to the west. A roof at 30° off south is, for practical purposes, a south-facing roof.
  • At 45° off, between 5.0% and 6.6%. Still a perfectly good installation.
  • Due east or due west costs around a fifth. Significant, and still frequently worth doing, for reasons that are about tariffs rather than physics.
  • Due north loses 44.9% and should generally not be built.

Anyone who has been told their roof is unsuitable because it faces south-west is looking at a 3.2% penalty.

Tilt matters less than direction

The same exercise, holding the array due south and varying the pitch.

Annual output by tilt, fixed due south
TiltAnnual output (kWh)Against 35°
3,146−16.3%
10°3,414−9.2%
20°3,611−4%
25°3,682−2.1%
30°3,731−0.8%
35°3,7610%
40°3,770+0.2%
45°3,7590%
50°3,729−0.8%
60°3,607−4.1%
90°2,774−26.2%

British pitched roofs are generally built somewhere between 30° and 45°. That band sits inside one per cent of the optimum. Tilt is therefore almost never a reason to reconsider an installation on a pitched roof, and paying for tilt frames to correct it on such a roof is paying for nothing.

Flat roofs are a different case. Laying panels flat costs 16.3%, so frames genuinely earn their keep there. They also introduce row-to-row shading and wind loading, which is a design problem rather than an angle problem.

A ground-mounted solar array in a field, all modules on a single plane at a shallow pitch, photographed towards a low sun
A single-plane array like this one has one bearing and one pitch, which makes it the clean case the table above describes.

Total output is the wrong thing to optimise

Everything above ranks orientations by annual kilowatt-hours. That ranking only decides earnings if every kilowatt-hour is worth the same amount, and it is not. A unit you consume in the house saves you the retail price. A unit you export earns your export rate, which is a fraction of it.

So the orientation that generates most is not automatically the one that earns most. A south-facing array concentrates its output around midday, which for a household that is out all day is exactly when it cannot be used. An east-west split spreads the same total across morning and late afternoon, generating less overall but matching consumption better.

Getting the number for your own roof

PVGIS is free, public, and covers Europe including the UK. Entering your own coordinates, pitch and bearing takes a couple of minutes and produces a figure with its own stated database and averaging period behind it.

Two cautions when you do. It models the terrain horizon from elevation data but knows nothing about chimneys or trees, so subtract whatever object shading applies. And its default system loss of 14% is an assumption, not a measurement of your installation.

Once you have a yield figure, what it is worth depends on your consumption and your export rate. Our calculator does that half, and reports the result as a range with the lower bound stated.

PVGIS 5.2 (European Commission Joint Research Centre), PVGIS-SARAH2 radiation database, 2005–2020 average. 4 kWp crystalline silicon, roof-mounted, 14% system loss, Birmingham, UK. Retrieved 2026-09-12. Source

What direction costs, measured

Same array, same pitch, same place. Only the bearing changes. Select a petal.

SS15ES15WS30ES30WSESWS60ES60WEWN

Due south

3,761kWh/yr

The reference

Within 30° of south
under 3.5% lost
Due east
-19.4%
Due west
-21.4%
Due north
-44.9%

East beats west here. British mornings are on average clearer than British afternoons, so the shape is genuinely lopsided rather than drawn that way.

PVGIS 5.2 (European Commission JRC), PVGIS-SARAH2, 2005–2020. 4 kWp, roof-mounted, 14% system loss, Birmingham, UK.

Common questions

How much output do you lose if your roof is 30 degrees off south?
About 2.1% turning east of south and 3.2% turning west, for a fixed array at 35° tilt in the English Midlands. That is smaller than the year-to-year variation in output caused by weather, so a roof 30° off south performs essentially like a south-facing one.
Are east or west facing solar panels worth installing?
A due east array loses about 19.4% of annual output against due south, and a due west array about 21.4%. Both are usually still worth installing, and an east-west split can earn more than a south-facing array for a household that uses electricity in the morning and evening rather than at midday.
What is the best tilt angle for solar panels in the UK?
Optimum for a due south array in the English Midlands sits near 40°, but the curve around it is very flat. Any tilt between 25° and 50° falls within 2.1% of the best result, which covers virtually every pitched roof in Britain.
How much do flat-mounted solar panels lose?
Laying panels horizontally costs 16.3% against a 35° tilt. That is why tilt frames are worth using on a flat roof, whereas on a pitched roof already between 30° and 45° they correct a difference of well under one per cent.
Are north facing solar panels ever worth it?
Generally not. A due north array at 35° loses 44.9% of the output of the same array facing south. No tariff arrangement or consumption pattern recovers a shortfall of that size.